2015 Season results for Del Norte (GV,2-5A)

52   17   4
Rank in
State, Class, District
823     38
Strength     Momentum
985   41.4(54)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  5W   13L   0T 
District  3W   3L   0T 
Expected  12:   4+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)
 

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/24/15 at La Cueva 0.0001338L 0-10 Expected (-5) 577 3%
08/26/15 Rio Grande ! 0.003898W 4- 0 Better (+4)1046 44%
08/29/15 at Volcano Vista 0.0011454L 0- 9 Expected (-2) 690 1%
09/02/15 Highland ?? 0.011830L 0- 3 Worse (-3) 660 54%
09/04/15 Valley 0.0151023L 0- 3 Expected (-1) 757 28%
09/08/15 Valencia 0.0311206L 0- 2 Expected (+1) 899 13%
09/10/15 Los Lunas 0.0451217L 1- 2 Expected (+3) 954 13%
09/12/15 at Piedra Vista ? 0.0411031L 0- 5 Expected (-3) 691 20%
09/15/15 Belen 0.0781170L 0- 2 Expected (+1) 881 16%
09/19/15 at Miyamura 0.145730L 1- 2 Worse (-2) 743 58%
09/23/15 at Bernalillo 0.208836W 1- 0 Better (+1) 895 44%
09/24/15 at Rio Grande 0.208898W 3- 1 Better (+3) 977 36%
09/29/15 at Capital !! 0.353947W 3- 2 Better (+3) 951 30%
10/03/15 West Mesa 0.471870L 0- 1 Expected (-1) 780 48%
10/06/15 Los Alamos 0.4481191L 0- 3 Expected (0) 841 11%
10/10/15 Bernalillo 0.732836W 1- 0 Expected (+1) 863 53%
10/17/15 Capital 0.794947L 1- 3 Expected (-1) 769 38%
10/24/15 at Los Alamos 0.1381191L 1-11 Expected (-6) 503 7%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Del Norte actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 985, while
Del Norte's "weighted playing strength" is 827
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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