52 17 4 Rank in State, Class, District |
823 38 Strength Momentum |
985 41.4(54) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at La Cueva | 0.000 | 1338 | L 0-10 | Expected (-5) | 577 | 3% | |
08/26/15 | Rio Grande ! | 0.003 | 898 | W 4- 0 | Better (+4) | 1046 | 44% | |
08/29/15 | at Volcano Vista | 0.001 | 1454 | L 0- 9 | Expected (-2) | 690 | 1% | |
09/02/15 | Highland ?? | 0.011 | 830 | L 0- 3 | Worse (-3) | 660 | 54% | |
09/04/15 | Valley | 0.015 | 1023 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-1) | 757 | 28% | |
09/08/15 | Valencia | 0.031 | 1206 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 899 | 13% | |
09/10/15 | Los Lunas | 0.045 | 1217 | L 1- 2 | Expected (+3) | 954 | 13% | |
09/12/15 | at Piedra Vista ? | 0.041 | 1031 | L 0- 5 | Expected (-3) | 691 | 20% | |
09/15/15 | Belen | 0.078 | 1170 | L 0- 2 | Expected (+1) | 881 | 16% | |
09/19/15 | at Miyamura | 0.145 | 730 | L 1- 2 | Worse (-2) | 743 | 58% | |
09/23/15 | at Bernalillo | 0.208 | 836 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 895 | 44% | |
09/24/15 | at Rio Grande | 0.208 | 898 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 977 | 36% | |
09/29/15 | at Capital !! | 0.353 | 947 | W 3- 2 | Better (+3) | 951 | 30% | |
10/03/15 | West Mesa | 0.471 | 870 | L 0- 1 | Expected (-1) | 780 | 48% | |
10/06/15 | Los Alamos | 0.448 | 1191 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 841 | 11% | |
10/10/15 | Bernalillo | 0.732 | 836 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 863 | 53% | |
10/17/15 | Capital | 0.794 | 947 | L 1- 3 | Expected (-1) | 769 | 38% | |
10/24/15 | at Los Alamos | 0.138 | 1191 | L 1-11 | Expected (-6) | 503 | 7% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Del Norte actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 985, while
Del Norte's "weighted playing strength" is 827
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.70 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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